· Rocket Arena
51%
49%
51% NY win49% CLE win
Predicted winner
New York Knicks
Low confidenceLow: close to a coin flip.
Why
New York Knicks' higher Elo rating (1612 vs 1558) and New York Knicks' road form (+12.4 average margin away) drive most of this prediction towards New York Knicks.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| CLE win probability | 49% | – |
| Spread | Pick'em | – |
| Total points | 222.5 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
New York Knicks
L103–107@ BOS
L102–111v ORL
W111–97v DET
W133–127@ CHI
L93–98@ PHI
Cleveland Cavaliers
W125–121v BKN
W127–125v MIN
W121–111v WSH
L111–114@ ATL
W136–111@ MIL
Season so far
| NY | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Conference rank | 10 | 4 |
| Last 10 | 2-4 | 4-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Points for / game | 107.0 | 121.0 |
| Points against / game | 107.7 | 116.0 |
| Average margin | -0.7 | 5.0 |
CLE at home · NY on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| CLE at home | 3-0 · 124.3–119.0 | 33-17 |
| NY away | 1-2 · 109.7–110.7 | 32-20 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · New York Knicks
8.1 days
Last played Philadelphia 76ers, Oct 30, 2026
Rest · Cleveland Cavaliers
7.0 days
Last played Milwaukee Bucks, Oct 31, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
4 CLE wins6 NY wins
- LMay 25, 2026NY 130 @ CLE 93playoffs
- LMay 23, 2026NY 121 @ CLE 108playoffs
- LMay 21, 2026CLE 93 @ NY 109playoffs
- LMay 19, 2026CLE 104 @ NY 115playoffs
- WFeb 24, 2026NY 94 @ CLE 109
- LDec 25, 2025CLE 124 @ NY 126
- LOct 22, 2025CLE 111 @ NY 119
- WApr 11, 2025CLE 108 @ NY 102
- WApr 2, 2025NY 105 @ CLE 124
- WFeb 21, 2025NY 105 @ CLE 142
W/L from Cleveland Cavaliers's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours NYfavours CLE →
- Elo strength rating-7 pts
- Home / road form-1 pts
- Recent point differential-0 pts
- Points scored / allowed-0 pts
- Season record-0 pts
Change in CLE's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)CLE 49%
- Margin model (weight 50%)CLE 49%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)CLE 52%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.