· Golden 1 Center
73%
27%
73% LAL win27% SAC win
Predicted winner
Los Angeles Lakers
Medium confidenceMedium: the favourite is at least 62%.
Why
Los Angeles Lakers' higher Elo rating (1559 vs 1363) and Los Angeles Lakers' better season record (67% vs 0% wins) drive most of this prediction towards Los Angeles Lakers.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| SAC win probability | 27% | – |
| Spread | LAL -8.1 | – |
| Total points | 228.7 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
Los Angeles Lakers
W125–117v LAC
W132–123@ UTAH
L129–136v POR
W103–87@ LAC
L95–112@ GS
Sacramento Kings
L120–128v POR
L112–123v MEM
L103–130@ SA
L120–132@ NO
L105–136@ MEM
Season so far
| LAL | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-2 | 0-6 |
| Conference rank | 5 | 15 |
| Last 10 | 4-2 | 0-6 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Points for / game | 118.5 | 109.3 |
| Points against / game | 113.3 | 128.3 |
| Average margin | 5.2 | -19.0 |
SAC at home · LAL on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| SAC at home | 0-2 · 116.0–125.5 | 15-26 |
| LAL away | 2-1 · 110.0–107.3 | 27-19 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · Los Angeles Lakers
5.0 days
Last played Golden State Warriors, Oct 30, 2026
Rest · Sacramento Kings
4.1 days
Last played Memphis Grizzlies, Oct 31, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
3 SAC wins7 LAL wins
- LMar 1, 2026SAC 104 @ LAL 128
- WJan 12, 2026LAL 112 @ SAC 124
- LDec 28, 2025SAC 101 @ LAL 125
- LOct 26, 2025LAL 127 @ SAC 120
- LDec 28, 2024SAC 122 @ LAL 132
- LDec 21, 2024LAL 103 @ SAC 99
- LDec 19, 2024LAL 113 @ SAC 100
- LOct 26, 2024SAC 127 @ LAL 131
- WMar 13, 2024LAL 107 @ SAC 120
- WMar 6, 2024SAC 130 @ LAL 120
W/L from Sacramento Kings's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours LALfavours SAC →
- Elo strength rating-22 pts
- Season record-3 pts
- Recent point differential-2 pts
- Home / road form-1 pts
- Points scored / allowed-0 pts
Change in SAC's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)SAC 29%
- Margin model (weight 50%)SAC 26%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)SAC 28%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.