· Barclays Center
Medium: the favourite is at least 62%.
Charlotte Hornets' higher Elo rating (1524 vs 1346) and Charlotte Hornets' road form (+7.9 average margin away) drive most of this prediction towards Charlotte Hornets. Brooklyn Nets' better point margin this season (-11.0 vs -8.1 per game) pulls the other way.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| BKN win probability | 32% | – |
| Spread | CHA -6.1 | – |
| Total points | 219.6 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
Season so far
| CHA | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-4 | 0-5 |
| Conference rank | 8 | 15 |
| Last 10 | 3-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L3 | L5 |
| Points for / game | 98.3 | 110.2 |
| Points against / game | 106.4 | 121.2 |
| Average margin | -8.1 | -11.0 |
BKN at home · CHA on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| BKN at home | 0-3 · 102.0–118.7 | 12-29 |
| CHA away | 1-2 · 92.7–98.3 | 23-18 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Head to head (last 10)
- LOct 21, 2026CHA 110 @ BKN 103
- LMar 31, 2026CHA 117 @ BKN 86
- WDec 1, 2025CHA 103 @ BKN 116
- LOct 22, 2025BKN 117 @ CHA 136
- LMar 8, 2025BKN 102 @ CHA 105
- WFeb 10, 2025CHA 89 @ BKN 97
- WJan 29, 2025BKN 104 @ CHA 83
- WNov 19, 2024CHA 115 @ BKN 116
- LMar 9, 2024BKN 99 @ CHA 110
- LNov 30, 2023CHA 129 @ BKN 128
W/L from Brooklyn Nets's point of view.
What moves this prediction
- Elo strength rating-21 pts
- Home / road form-3 pts
- Recent point differential-2 pts
- Season record+2 pts
- Points scored / allowed-1 pts
- Rest & back-to-backs+0 pts
Change in BKN's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)BKN 31%
- Margin model (weight 50%)BKN 34%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)BKN 29%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.