· Intuit Dome
51%
49%
51% TOR win49% LAC win
Predicted winner
Toronto Raptors
Low confidenceLow: close to a coin flip.
Why
Toronto Raptors' better season record (60% vs 20% wins) and Toronto Raptors' higher Elo rating (1525 vs 1499) drive most of this prediction towards Toronto Raptors.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| LAC win probability | 49% | – |
| Spread | TOR -0.5 | – |
| Total points | 224.8 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
Toronto Raptors
W135–92v CHI
W112–102@ WSH
L94–117@ MIN
W129–99v ORL
L114–121v ORL
LA Clippers
W121–96v SAC
L117–125@ LAL
L101–108@ OKC
L87–103v LAL
L101–127@ MIN
Season so far
| TOR | LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Conference rank | 5 | 13 |
| Last 10 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Points for / game | 116.8 | 105.4 |
| Points against / game | 106.2 | 111.8 |
| Average margin | 10.6 | -6.4 |
LAC at home · TOR on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| LAC at home | 1-1 · 104.0–99.5 | 23-18 |
| TOR away | 1-1 · 103.0–109.5 | 22-23 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · Toronto Raptors
3.1 days
Last played Orlando Magic, Oct 30, 2026
Rest · LA Clippers
3.1 days
Last played Minnesota Timberwolves, Oct 30, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
7 LAC wins3 TOR wins
- WMar 25, 2026TOR 94 @ LAC 119
- WJan 16, 2026LAC 121 @ TOR 117
- LFeb 2, 2025LAC 108 @ TOR 115
- WNov 9, 2024TOR 103 @ LAC 105
- WJan 26, 2024LAC 127 @ TOR 107
- WJan 10, 2024TOR 120 @ LAC 126
- WMar 8, 2023TOR 100 @ LAC 108
- WDec 27, 2022LAC 124 @ TOR 113
- LMar 16, 2022TOR 103 @ LAC 100
- LDec 31, 2021LAC 108 @ TOR 116
W/L from LA Clippers's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours TORfavours LAC →
- Season record-4 pts
- Elo strength rating-4 pts
- Recent point differential-2 pts
- Home / road form+1 pts
- Points scored / allowed-0 pts
Change in LAC's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)LAC 54%
- Margin model (weight 50%)LAC 47%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)LAC 43%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.