· Xfinity Mobile Arena
23%
77%
23% CHI win77% PHI win
Predicted winner
Philadelphia 76ers
High confidenceHigh: the favourite is at least 75%.
Why
Philadelphia 76ers' higher Elo rating (1553 vs 1394) and Philadelphia 76ers' better season record (86% vs 17% wins) drive most of this prediction towards Philadelphia 76ers.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| PHI win probability | 77% | – |
| Spread | PHI -9.9 | – |
| Total points | 230.6 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
Chicago Bulls
W132–125@ MIL
L120–124v WSH
L99–134@ BOS
L127–133v NY
L111–125@ BOS
Philadelphia 76ers
W127–116v MIL
L93–106v DET
W114–109@ IND
W98–93v NY
W109–104@ CHA
Season so far
| CHI | PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-5 | 6-1 |
| Conference rank | 14 | 1 |
| Last 10 | 1-5 | 6-1 |
| Streak | L4 | W3 |
| Points for / game | 113.5 | 108.7 |
| Points against / game | 129.3 | 104.9 |
| Average margin | -15.8 | 3.9 |
PHI at home · CHI on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| PHI at home | 3-1 · 108.0–105.2 | 24-22 |
| CHI away | 1-3 · 108.5–129.8 | 13-28 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · Chicago Bulls
3.0 days
Last played Boston Celtics, Oct 30, 2026
Rest · Philadelphia 76ers
2.1 days
Last played Charlotte Hornets, Oct 31, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
4 PHI wins6 CHI wins
- WMar 25, 2026CHI 137 @ PHI 157
- LDec 26, 2025PHI 102 @ CHI 109
- LNov 4, 2025PHI 111 @ CHI 113
- LApr 13, 2025CHI 122 @ PHI 102
- LFeb 24, 2025CHI 142 @ PHI 110
- WJan 25, 2025PHI 109 @ CHI 97
- WDec 8, 2024PHI 108 @ CHI 100
- WJan 2, 2024CHI 97 @ PHI 110
- LDec 30, 2023PHI 92 @ CHI 105
- LDec 18, 2023CHI 108 @ PHI 104
W/L from Philadelphia 76ers's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours CHIfavours PHI →
- Elo strength rating+16 pts
- Season record+2 pts
- Recent point differential+1 pts
- Points scored / allowed+0 pts
Change in PHI's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)PHI 78%
- Margin model (weight 50%)PHI 75%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)PHI 79%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.