· Spectrum Center
58%
42%
58% DET win42% CHA win
Predicted winner
Detroit Pistons
Low confidenceLow: close to a coin flip.
Why
Detroit Pistons' higher Elo rating (1612 vs 1524) and Detroit Pistons' better season record (83% vs 43% wins) drive most of this prediction towards Detroit Pistons.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| CHA win probability | 42% | – |
| Spread | DET -2.7 | – |
| Total points | 213.5 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
Detroit Pistons
W128–111@ MIA
W106–93@ PHI
L97–111@ NY
W97–89v CHA
W110–94@ BKN
Charlotte Hornets
W115–110v MIA
W110–103v WSH
L89–97@ DET
L79–95@ WSH
L104–109v PHI
Season so far
| DET | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-1 | 3-4 |
| Conference rank | 2 | 8 |
| Last 10 | 5-1 | 3-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L3 |
| Points for / game | 109.8 | 98.3 |
| Points against / game | 101.8 | 106.4 |
| Average margin | 8.0 | -8.1 |
CHA at home · DET on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| CHA at home | 2-2 · 102.5–112.5 | 21-20 |
| DET away | 3-1 · 110.2–102.2 | 30-17 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · Detroit Pistons
3.0 days
Last played Brooklyn Nets, Oct 30, 2026
Rest · Charlotte Hornets
2.1 days
Last played Philadelphia 76ers, Oct 31, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
2 CHA wins8 DET wins
- LOct 28, 2026CHA 89 @ DET 97
- LApr 10, 2026DET 118 @ CHA 100
- LFeb 9, 2026DET 110 @ CHA 104
- LDec 20, 2025CHA 86 @ DET 112
- LFeb 9, 2025CHA 102 @ DET 112
- LJan 3, 2025CHA 94 @ DET 98
- WNov 21, 2024DET 121 @ CHA 123
- WNov 6, 2024DET 107 @ CHA 108
- LMar 11, 2024CHA 97 @ DET 114
- LJan 24, 2024CHA 106 @ DET 113
W/L from Charlotte Hornets's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours DETfavours CHA →
- Elo strength rating-10 pts
- Season record-4 pts
- Recent point differential-2 pts
- Rest & back-to-backs-0 pts
Change in CHA's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)CHA 44%
- Margin model (weight 50%)CHA 41%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)CHA 39%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.