· Chase Center
45%
55%
45% LAC win55% GS win
Predicted winner
Golden State Warriors
Low confidenceLow: close to a coin flip.
Why
The teams are closely matched on the model's inputs, so home advantage tips it towards Golden State Warriors.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| GS win probability | 55% | 54% |
| Spread | GS -1.7 | GS -2.5 |
| Total points | 227.9 | 219.5 |
| Moneyline | GS -130 · LAC +110 |
DraftKings (via ESPN). Moneyline margin of 4.1% removed. Gap +1 pts on GS winning. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
LA Clippers
W121–96v SAC
L117–125@ LAL
L101–108@ OKC
L87–103v LAL
L101–127@ MIN
Golden State Warriors
L108–111v MEM
L122–131@ PHX
W134–114@ DEN
W119–114@ MIN
W112–95v LAL
Season so far
| LAC | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Conference rank | 13 | 10 |
| Last 10 | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Streak | L4 | W3 |
| Points for / game | 105.4 | 116.7 |
| Points against / game | 111.8 | 115.3 |
| Average margin | -6.4 | 1.3 |
GS at home · LAC on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| GS at home | 1-1 · 110.0–103.0 | 22-19 |
| LAC away | 0-3 · 106.3–120.0 | 19-22 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · LA Clippers
2.1 days
Last played Minnesota Timberwolves, Oct 30, 2026
Rest · Golden State Warriors
2.0 days
Last played Los Angeles Lakers, Oct 30, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
1 GS wins9 LAC wins
- LApr 12, 2026GS 110 @ LAC 115
- LMar 2, 2026LAC 114 @ GS 101
- LJan 5, 2026GS 102 @ LAC 103
- WOct 28, 2025LAC 79 @ GS 98
- LApr 13, 2025LAC 124 @ GS 119
- LDec 27, 2024GS 92 @ LAC 102
- LNov 18, 2024GS 99 @ LAC 102
- LOct 27, 2024LAC 112 @ GS 104
- LFeb 14, 2024LAC 130 @ GS 125
- LDec 14, 2023GS 113 @ LAC 121
W/L from Golden State Warriors's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours LACfavours GS →
- Elo strength rating-2 pts
- Home / road form-1 pts
- Season record+1 pts
- Recent point differential+0 pts
Change in GS's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)GS 55%
- Margin model (weight 50%)GS 54%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)GS 57%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.