· Golden 1 Center
82%
18%
82% SA win18% SAC win
Predicted winner
San Antonio Spurs
High confidenceHigh: the favourite is at least 75%.
Why
San Antonio Spurs' higher Elo rating (1639 vs 1363) and San Antonio Spurs' better season record (67% vs 0% wins) drive most of this prediction towards San Antonio Spurs.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| SAC win probability | 18% | – |
| Spread | SA -12.0 | – |
| Total points | 228.3 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
San Antonio Spurs
L110–114v HOU
W122–106@ DAL
W130–103v SAC
W117–111@ UTAH
W121–111v MIN
Sacramento Kings
L120–128v POR
L112–123v MEM
L103–130@ SA
L120–132@ NO
L105–136@ MEM
Season so far
| SA | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 4-2 | 0-6 |
| Conference rank | 4 | 15 |
| Last 10 | 4-2 | 0-6 |
| Streak | W4 | L6 |
| Points for / game | 117.3 | 109.3 |
| Points against / game | 110.2 | 128.3 |
| Average margin | 7.2 | -19.0 |
SAC at home · SA on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| SAC at home | 0-2 · 116.0–125.5 | 15-26 |
| SA away | 2-0 · 119.5–108.5 | 37-17 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · San Antonio Spurs
6.1 days
Last played Minnesota Timberwolves, Oct 31, 2026
Rest · Sacramento Kings
6.1 days
Last played Memphis Grizzlies, Oct 31, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
4 SAC wins6 SA wins
- LOct 27, 2026SAC 103 @ SA 130
- LMar 17, 2026SA 132 @ SAC 104
- LFeb 21, 2026SAC 122 @ SA 139
- LNov 16, 2025SAC 110 @ SA 123
- WMar 7, 2025SA 109 @ SAC 127
- WDec 6, 2024SAC 140 @ SA 113
- LDec 1, 2024SA 127 @ SAC 125
- LNov 11, 2024SAC 96 @ SA 116
- WMar 7, 2024SA 129 @ SAC 131
- WFeb 22, 2024SA 122 @ SAC 127
W/L from Sacramento Kings's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours SAfavours SAC →
- Elo strength rating-28 pts
- Season record-3 pts
- Recent point differential-3 pts
- Home / road form-2 pts
- Points scored / allowed-0 pts
Change in SAC's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)SAC 20%
- Margin model (weight 50%)SAC 17%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)SAC 19%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.