· Rocket Arena
39%
61%
39% PHI win61% CLE win
Predicted winner
Cleveland Cavaliers
Low confidenceLow: close to a coin flip.
Why
Cleveland Cavaliers' better point margin this season (+5.0 vs +3.9 per game) drives most of this prediction towards Cleveland Cavaliers.
Model vs betting line
| Model | Market | |
|---|---|---|
| CLE win probability | 61% | – |
| Spread | CLE -3.7 | – |
| Total points | 222.7 | – |
No betting line stored yet for this game. Betting markets have been more accurate than this model historically (see Performance), so a big gap more often means missing information (injuries, rest decisions) than a mispriced line.
Recent form (last 5)
Philadelphia 76ers
W127–116v MIL
L93–106v DET
W114–109@ IND
W98–93v NY
W109–104@ CHA
Cleveland Cavaliers
W125–121v BKN
W127–125v MIN
W121–111v WSH
L111–114@ ATL
W136–111@ MIL
Season so far
| PHI | CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 6-1 | 4-2 |
| Conference rank | 1 | 4 |
| Last 10 | 6-1 | 4-2 |
| Streak | W3 | W1 |
| Points for / game | 108.7 | 121.0 |
| Points against / game | 104.9 | 116.0 |
| Average margin | 3.9 | 5.0 |
CLE at home · PHI on the road
| This season | Last season | |
|---|---|---|
| CLE at home | 3-0 · 124.3–119.0 | 33-17 |
| PHI away | 3-0 · 109.7–104.3 | 25-22 |
W-L, then points scored–allowed per game. Regular season and playoffs.
Rest · Philadelphia 76ers
6.1 days
Last played Charlotte Hornets, Oct 31, 2026
Rest · Cleveland Cavaliers
6.0 days
Last played Milwaukee Bucks, Oct 31, 2026
Head to head (last 10)
7 CLE wins3 PHI wins
- LOct 22, 2026CLE 106 @ PHI 114
- WMar 9, 2026PHI 101 @ CLE 115
- WJan 16, 2026CLE 117 @ PHI 115
- WJan 14, 2026CLE 133 @ PHI 107
- WNov 5, 2025PHI 121 @ CLE 132
- LJan 24, 2025CLE 129 @ PHI 132
- WDec 21, 2024PHI 99 @ CLE 126
- WNov 13, 2024CLE 114 @ PHI 106
- WMar 29, 2024PHI 114 @ CLE 117
- LFeb 23, 2024CLE 97 @ PHI 104
W/L from Cleveland Cavaliers's point of view.
What moves this prediction
← favours PHIfavours CLE →
- Season record+1 pts
- Recent point differential+1 pts
- Elo strength rating+0 pts
Change in CLE's win probability when the two teams are made equal on that group of inputs.
- Elo (weight 35%)CLE 58%
- Margin model (weight 50%)CLE 62%
- Gradient boosting (weight 15%)CLE 63%
Model version v20261029-acb94a. Weights chosen on the 2016–2020 validation seasons.